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Larsen: The fix must be in place

Time runs out to save Social Security, Medicare


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Much ado has been made over the impending retirement of Kathleen Casey-Kirschling, of Maryland. A teacher before retiring, she spent time volunteering for the Red Cross in Gulf Coast areas devastated by Hurricane Katrina.

Teacher. Volunteer. Both admirable qualities that should garner much more attention, and applause, than given to sports figures, movie stars or politicians' lifestyles.

Instead, Casey-Kirschling gains importance because she became the first baby boomer to apply for Social Security benefits.

Born one second after midnight, Jan. 1, 1946, she hopes to begin collecting her monthly payments right away when she turns 62 in January.

Be scared, be very scared, people have been told. Casey-Kirschling has begun what some call the "silver tsunami," the "stampede, or the "first droplet of a demographic flood."

Rowland Nethaway, in an Oct. 22 commentary in The Star, wrote: "They earned their Social Security checks and, by golly, they expect to receive them as soon as they can sign up."

Newsday, in an Oct. 12 editorial, wrote: "But one thing is sure about boomers. They won't be quiet about their plight especially if political pressure can be applied to resolve major entitlement issues."

Jack X. Smith, an editorial writer for the Forth Worth (Texas) Star-Telegram, wrote in an Oct. 19 column: "During the next two decades, early 80 million Americans are expected to become eligible for Social Security benefits. That's an unprecedented rate of 10,000-plus new beneficiaries every 24 hours."

In other words, Casey-Kirschling kicks off the time when baby boomers who took on education, politics and war during the 1960s raid the Social Security system.

There has been ample warnings that Social Security would begin going sour in 2017, when payouts begin exceeding revenues, and that the assets of the Social Security trust fund would be exhausted by 2041.

Nothing has been done to remedy the situation. Now, the scare tactics start — 10,000 people a day banging on Social Security offices' doors demanding benefits.

A little perspective, please. People can only collect Social Security when they turn 62, and that is at reduced payments. Births in 1946 totaled 3.43 million according to the Census Bureau's "Statistical Abstract of the United States." That averages out to a bit more than 9,700 a day. But in January 1946, if the Wikipedia article on baby boomers is valid, 222,721 births occurred for an average of a bit more than 7,100 a day.

Not all those who become eligible will immediately race out and collect Social Security. According to figures used with the Oct. 21 Newsday editorial, of the 3.2 million eligible to apply for early, reduced Social Security payments next year, only 49 percent of men and 53 percent of women plan to do so.

So, instead of hordes of greedy baby boomers getting ready to drain Social Security, there will be only a trickle, perhaps 3,500 a day at first, if even that. Half of those eligible might be planning to apply for the benefits, but economic ups and down could change those plans drastically.

And so, too, can Medicare. Unless those turning 62 in 2008 have health insurance from other sources, they might have to wait three more years to retire, when they become eligible for Medicare.

And Medicare is in worse shape than Social Security. By 2018, only seven years after the first baby boomers turn 65, Medicare's hospital insurance trust fund is expected to run out of money.

Yes, more people than previously will be retiring. That has been known for decades. Congress and presidents have done little to fix these two programs that have helped blunt poverty among retirees.

The 2017 financial woes of Social Security can be delayed for a bit by the simple act of removing the $92,000 cap on payroll deductions. Let all earnings be subject to the payroll deduction. A slight, temporary increase in payroll deductions also would help.

Fixing Medicare can't be delayed, but Congress will. Its members won't tackle anything controversial in a presidential election year, and fixing Medicare will be very controversial. It will require a top-to-bottom overhaul and the overhaul must be done without undue influence by the health insurance and pharmaceutical industries.

So, yes, baby boomers are getting ready to retire. They will be asking for their Social Security, something for which they have worked toward for more than 45 years. They also will want Medicare.

And, at 80 million strong, that's one heck of a voting bloc to drive the process. And, as they showed during the 1960s, boomers know how to drive the process.

— Richard Larsen is a deputy opinion page editor at The Star. His e-mail address is rlarsen@VenturaCountyStar.com.

Discussions

Posted by unclneal on October 30, 2007 at 7:22 a.m. (Suggest removal)

why does the government have to provide a retirement system? the federal gov't is too big
cut this and we can all live with more money in our pockets, and save our own funds at our own choice

Posted by cassandra on October 30, 2007 at 7:48 a.m. (Suggest removal)

Good article and proposes an excellent solution.

Lots of propaganda for quite a while about this matter from an ideological crew bent on reversing the progess of the last century for ordinary people. And yet the fund is still solvent which cannot be said for the rest of the budget.

War and preparation for war is the big drain on our nation's wealth. When we control militarism, we will find money for all kinds of things.

The uses of fear--be it from illegal aliens or "Islamofascist"--keeps the military industrial complex humming while the rest of society decays.

Posted by Jacksprat on October 30, 2007 at 9 a.m. (Suggest removal)

What need to be controled in the Social Security is the money being paid out not to the retired senior but to all the able body people who claim the are diabled. You see them all the time, things like bad back, and so on. These keep them from working as long as the goverment pays them but it does not keep them from doing any thing else. If the able body one were removed SS would have a lot more funds.
Wait until the illigals learn how to get in the system and they will over load it. Babys will start collect SS because they are disabled and can't work.

Posted by fcoles on October 31, 2007 at 10:22 a.m. (Suggest removal)

The full retirement age is based on maintaining a 50% death rate, so the government does not have to pay any paid for benefits but to half of the investors. The government gets 15% of all wages in and is so incompetent with our money the fund can just pay back what you actually put in, instead of competently investing our money and growing the funds. The problem with Social Security is totally caused by government. No, matter your political party affiliation, and setting aside your thoughts on issues. We all need to remember what it is to be an American Citizen. We need to make sure our elected representatives obey their Oath of Office and keep their Oath of Allegiance. See http://tinyurl.com/2znnvl Know whom you are voting for.

Posted by ebrockway on October 31, 2007 at 11:07 a.m. (Suggest removal)

When Bush proposed Social Security overhaul several years ago, Dems said "THERE IS NO CRISIS!" So why worry?



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